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Showing posts from December, 2022

Consolidation below resistance

 Bitcoin Price Consolidation Risk Bitcoin has been consolidating below the key resistance level of $17,000 for the past few days. This sideways price action is not uncommon during holiday periods, as traders and investors tend to take a break and the market sees less activity as a result. However, this also means that trading bitcoin at this time can be quite risky. If the price fails to break above the $17,000 resistance level, it could potentially lead to a dump as traders who were hoping for a breakout may decide to sell off their positions. On the other hand, if bitcoin is able to break above this resistance level, it could signal a strong buying momentum and potentially lead to further price appreciation. Overall, it is important for traders to carefully consider the potential risks and rewards of trading bitcoin during this period of consolidation. It may be wise to wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making any trades, or to use caution and proper risk management strat...

Difficulty in trading bitcoin with bearish bias

 The past several weeks have been a tough time for traders with a bearish bias. It seems like no matter what we do, the market just wants to go higher. This can be frustrating and disheartening, especially when we see our short trades getting stopped out or experiencing nasty drawdowns. But it's important to remember that markets are constantly in flux and it's not uncommon for them to shift in a different direction. In fact, the current market conditions might be an indication that it's time to start shifting our bias to a more bullish stance. One potential reason for this shift is the idea that the bottom might be in for Bitcoin. While it's impossible to know for sure, there are a few factors that could be contributing to this possibility. First, it's possible that the bottoming out process has been completed. In a market crash or correction, there is typically a period where the price bottoms out and then starts to recover. If this process has been completed, it ...

This is a personal blog of my trades

 Starting from 21/12/2022

Unexpected JPY Move

 As a trader, I'm always on the lookout for opportunities to make a profit. So when I noticed a divergence between the price of bitcoin and the S&P 500, I knew I had to act fast. The S&P 500 futures were sharply going down while bitcoin was going up. This was surprising to me because these two markets are usually correlated. So I started digging to figure out what was going on. I learned that the Bank of Japan had recently increased the 10-year treasury interest rate to 0.5%. This could have been a factor in the falling S&P 500, but it didn't explain why bitcoin was going up. At first, I thought the strong yen might be spoofing some bots into buying bitcoin, which caused the price to spike. I took a quick 180$ profit on the trade, but I still wasn't convinced that this was the whole story. So I took a short position at 16840, believing that bitcoin would fall back in line with the S&P 500. However, despite clear technical chart indications that showed consol...